NATE COHN
Posts
Georgia Runoff: What a Walker or Warnock Victory Would Look Like
Surprises are always possible, but there seem to be few reasons to think Herschel Walker can improve upon his showing last month.
Black Turnout in Midterms Was One of the Low Points for Democrats
But the effects of the decrease wound up being muted.
Trump’s Drag on Republicans Quantified: A Five-Point Penalty
An analysis based on House districts shows a pattern in the results of his preferred primary candidates.
Republicans Appear on Track to Take the House
Democrats are falling short of their targets in key races in California and Arizona.
Tracking the Mail Vote in the Uncalled House Districts
Republicans lead in the race for House control, but Democrats still have hope, thanks to mail ballot trends in California. We’ll provide updates.
Unconventional Results
In states where abortion rights or democracy was on the ballot, Democrats upended the typical midterm result.
Why Some States Went in Different Directions in Midterms
Abortion rights and antidemocratic stances were more relevant or pressing in some places than others.
Which Election Races Are Still Being Called, and When Will We Have Results?
Who will control the Senate and the House? Settle in for a long wait.
Who Will Win the Battle for Congress? Four Scenarios.
A wide range of outcomes is still possible. Here are signs to look for on election night.
A Poll Reversal
Republicans have swiftly gained ground near the end of midterm elections polling.