NATE COHN
Posts
Not an Ordinary Special Election, and Yet a Typical Result
Democrats claim another victory, although it doesn’t necessarily add more clarity about November.
Christie’s Exit Should Give Haley a Chance in New Hampshire. Will It Be Enough?
A group of moderate voters is now available, but it may not put her over the top against Trump.
Want to Understand 2024? Look at 1948.
Americans were angry with Truman because of high prices in the aftermath of World War II, even as other economic signals looked promising.
Looking Ahead to 5 Things That Will Shape the 2024 Election
Trials, a Kennedy and the economy are among the variables to consider.
Primaries, Polls and Party Shares: It’s Time for the Mailbag.
Readers have questions, including on switching over to another side’s primary, and a quick comment on Swift.
Will Haley or a Trial Bring Trump Down? For Now, Our Poll Says No.
Republican primary voters seem unbothered by a coming trial, but a new obstacle looms.
How Much Is Biden’s Support of Israel Hurting Him With Young Voters?
Donald Trump leads him among those 18 to 29, a new poll shows.
Vibes, the Economy and the Election
Recent positive news may put two theories on economic disenchantment to the test.
Why Haley Is Rising Among the Rivals to Trump
She has gained with educated and relatively moderate Republicans and independents, but that is also a big liability in today’s G.O.P.
Why Biden’s Weakness Among Young Voters Should Be Taken Seriously
Almost all the polling shows the same pattern. Could the coming campaign restore Democrats’ usual advantage?
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