NATE COHN
Posts
Growing Evidence Against a Republican Wave
Since the fall of Roe v. Wade, it’s increasingly hard to see the once-clear signs of a G.O.P. advantage.
Kansas Result Suggests 4 Out of 5 States Would Back Abortion Rights in Similar Vote
The referendum in a reliably Republican state shows which party has the most energy on the issue.
Poll Shows Tight Race for Control of Congress as Class Divide Widens
Nonwhite and working-class Democrats worry more about the economy, while white college graduates focus more on cultural issues like abortion rights and guns.
Voters Say They Want Gun Control. Their Votes Say Something Different.
Broad public support on the issue may not be as broad as polling shows or as Democrats hope.
Do Americans Support Abortion Rights? Depends on the State.
Polling suggests an overturning of Roe v. Wade might not carry political consequences in states that would be likeliest to put in restrictions.
When Draft Pundits Are Right, and N.F.L. Teams Wrong
An analysis shows that teams usually misfire when they ignore analysts and make a surprise pick early in the first round.