Swing-district polls by The New York Times and Siena College show how the midterm races are being shaped by larger, surprising forces, beyond the traditional red and blue divide.
Inflation and a rocky economy are bolstering Republicans in their races against incumbent Democrats, motivating “an electorate that simply wants change,” as one G.O.P. consultant says.
Adam Laxalt has Trump’s support and a favorable climate for Republicans as he challenges Senator Catherine Cortez Masto, who was mentored by Harry Reid, a victor in 2010 against a Tea Party foe.